Question

Will a massive solar storm occur before 2050?

11 comments11

Total Forecasters68

Community Prediction30% (20% - 42%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 30%

Authors:

Gillesbert

Opened:

May 24, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2049

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2049

Verity

Natural Sciences

Space

Disturbance storm time index

Geomagnetic storm

Meteorology

Solar storm of 1859

AI trained on decades of Sun activity data predicts solar storms, scientists say

Independent•Feb 15, 2025

The sun may spit out giant solar flares more often than we thought

New Scientist•Feb 16, 2025

A Once-A-Century ‘Superflare’ From The Sun Is Long Overdue, Scientists Say

Forbes•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Kessler syndrome occur before 2050?

15%

New Solar Cycle 25 Question Series

Will we observe a supernova in the Milky Way Galaxy before 2050?

70%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Gillesbert

Opened:

May 24, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2049

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2049

Verity

Natural Sciences

Space

Disturbance storm time index

Geomagnetic storm

Meteorology

Solar storm of 1859

AI trained on decades of Sun activity data predicts solar storms, scientists say

Independent•Feb 15, 2025

The sun may spit out giant solar flares more often than we thought

New Scientist•Feb 16, 2025

A Once-A-Century ‘Superflare’ From The Sun Is Long Overdue, Scientists Say

Forbes•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Kessler syndrome occur before 2050?

15%

New Solar Cycle 25 Question Series

Will we observe a supernova in the Milky Way Galaxy before 2050?

70%