Question
When will the next (post-Breyer) US Supreme Court vacancy arise?
Total Forecasters30
Community Prediction
Feb 2026
(May 2025 - Jul 2027)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <164773440000% | 0.3% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | May 2025 | — |
| median | Feb 2026 | — |
| upper 75% | Jul 2027 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >189345600000% | 3.5% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Mar 27, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 29, 2022
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 27, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 29, 2022
