Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

We're considering changes to the Quarterly Cup and want to hear from you, take our short survey to share your thoughts and help shape future iterations of the Cup.

M

Question

Will Russia use chemical weapons in Ukraine in 2022?

Resolved :No1%
43
151
Total Forecasters648
Community Prediction1% (1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
69.0
Community Peer Score
28.5
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Gaia
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Ukraine Conflict
Verity
Geopolitics
Technology
2022 Leaderboard
Soviet Union
Chemistry
Military science
Russo-Ukrainian War
Ethics
White House
United Nations General Assembly
Boris Johnson
United Nations Security Council

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