Question

Will Russia use chemical weapons in Ukraine in 2022?

Resolved :No1%

151 comments151

Total Forecasters648

Community Prediction1% (1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

69.0

Community Peer Score

28.5

Authors:

Gaia

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

United Nations General Assembly

Boris Johnson

United Nations Security Council

Putin Ally Warns Nuclear War With NATO Almost Began Under Joe Biden

Newsweek•Jan 19, 2025

Ukraine war briefing: US to announce $500m in aid for Kyiv ahead of Ramstein meeting

Guardian•Jan 21, 2025

Russia’s battlefield losses hit record high, says Ukraine – as it prepares for impact of Trump presidency

Independent•Jan 21, 2025

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