Question

Will Russia use chemical weapons in Ukraine in 2022?

Resolved :No1%

151 comments151

Total Forecasters648

Community Prediction1% (1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

69.0

Community Peer Score

28.5

Authors:

Gaia

Opened:

Mar 25, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2022

Resolves:

Jan 2, 2023

United Nations General Assembly

Boris Johnson

United Nations Security Council

US warns Russia may be ready to use new lethal missile against Ukraine again in ‘coming days’

Associated Press•Feb 19, 2025

US Warns Russia May Deploy New Lethal Missile in Ukraine 'in Coming Days'

Newsweek•Feb 19, 2025

WATCH LIVE: Pentagon holds news briefing as U.S. warns Russia may use new missile against Ukraine

PBS NewsHour•Feb 19, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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