Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

After 2022, when is the next time the US policy rate will reach the zero lower bound?

10
8
Total Forecasters20
Community Prediction2028-05-07 (2026-01-07 - 2032-02-21)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2049-12-28
...
...
...
...
2026-01-07 15:35
2028-05-07 13:38
2032-02-21 20:22
4.2%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
basil.halperin
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Economy & Business
United States
Great Recession
Federal Reserve

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