M

Question

Will the ceasefire in Yemen hold for its intended duration?

Resolved :Yes
9
20
Total Forecasters64
Community Prediction98%

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 98%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
-0.8
Community Peer Score
11.1
median 98.0%mean 92.9%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
jonathan.mohrbacher
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Verity
Geopolitics
Yemen
Ramadan (calendar month)
Houthi movement
Saudi Arabian-led intervention in Yemen
Sanaa
Russo-Ukrainian War
Yemeni Civil War (2015–present)
Russia

Comments

? comments