Question

Will a 8-year gross world product doubling complete before a 2-year doubling does?

20 comments20

Total Forecasters43

Community Prediction61%

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community: 61%

median 61.0%mean 57.7%

Authors:

ege_erdil

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Scheduled resolution:

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Will there be a complete 4 year interval in which world output doubles, before the first 1 year interval in which world output doubles?

55%

Will there be a 4 year interval in which world output doubles before 2050?

34%

When will we have transformative AI?

2042-04-03

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Authors:

ege_erdil

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

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Will there be a complete 4 year interval in which world output doubles, before the first 1 year interval in which world output doubles?

55%

Will there be a 4 year interval in which world output doubles before 2050?

34%

When will we have transformative AI?

2042-04-03