Question

Will a 8-year gross world product doubling complete before a 2-year doubling does?

20 comments20

Total Forecasters43

Community Prediction61%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 61%

median 61.0%mean 57.7%

Authors:

ege_erdil

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

The economist who predicted the election outcomes in detail tells BI his forecasts for 2025 GDP, inflation, and the threshold that would explode the deficit

Business Insider•Nov 23, 2024

This is the biggest question in AI right now

Business Insider•Nov 25, 2024

[Andrei Hagiu] Which products will benefit and which will be disrupted by generative AI

Korea Herald•Nov 25, 2024

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Will there be a complete 4 year interval in which world output doubles, before the first 1 year interval in which world output doubles?

55%

Will there be a 4 year interval in which world output doubles before 2050?

34.4%

When will we have transformative AI?

2041-11-28

Comments

? comments

Authors:

ege_erdil

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

The economist who predicted the election outcomes in detail tells BI his forecasts for 2025 GDP, inflation, and the threshold that would explode the deficit

Business Insider•Nov 23, 2024

This is the biggest question in AI right now

Business Insider•Nov 25, 2024

[Andrei Hagiu] Which products will benefit and which will be disrupted by generative AI

Korea Herald•Nov 25, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a complete 4 year interval in which world output doubles, before the first 1 year interval in which world output doubles?

55%

Will there be a 4 year interval in which world output doubles before 2050?

34.4%

When will we have transformative AI?

2041-11-28