Question

Will a 8-year gross world product doubling complete before a 2-year doubling does?

20 comments20

Total Forecasters44

Community Prediction61% (59% - 71%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 61%

Authors:

ege_erdil

Opened:

Apr 7, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2049

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

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Will there be a complete 4 year interval in which world output doubles, before the first 1 year interval in which world output doubles?

57%

Will there be a 4 year interval in which world output doubles before 2050?

34.4%

When will we have transformative AI?

2040-04-09

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