Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Question
Question
How many people will be in space on April 12, 2030?
11
7 comments
7
1d
1w
2m
all
Total Forecasters
22
Community Prediction
22.4
Make a Prediction
Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
Sign Up to Predict
My Prediction
community
<5
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>1k
...
...
...
...
...
5.7%
12.92
22.43
36.94
0.3%
Background Info
Authors:
Cato
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Economy & Business
Technology
Astronomy
Yuri Gagarin
Yuri's Night
Cosmonautics Day
International Day of Human Space Flight
Fédération Aéronautique Internationale
Atmospheric science
Space Shuttle program
Aerospace engineering
Physics
Show more tags
Submit Tags Feedback
Comments
Log in
? comments
recent
Load more comments
Follow
embed
Authors:
Cato
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Economy & Business
Technology
Astronomy
Yuri Gagarin
Yuri's Night
Cosmonautics Day
International Day of Human Space Flight
Fédération Aéronautique Internationale
Atmospheric science
Space Shuttle program
Aerospace engineering
Physics
Show more tags
Submit Tags Feedback
News Match
Who Is Sunita Williams and Why Are the Starliner Astronauts Stuck in Space?
Newsweek
•
Nov 7, 2024
What Trump's second term means for space and why one expert is 'hugely optimistic'
Business Insider
•
Nov 9, 2024
London to New York in 30 MINUTES: SpaceX's Starship could soon transport passengers on long-distance trips at dizzying speeds of up to 16,700mph - as Elon Musk claims 'this is now possible' following
Daily Mail
•
Nov 13, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
News Match
Who Is Sunita Williams and Why Are the Starliner Astronauts Stuck in Space?
Newsweek
•
Nov 7, 2024
What Trump's second term means for space and why one expert is 'hugely optimistic'
Business Insider
•
Nov 9, 2024
London to New York in 30 MINUTES: SpaceX's Starship could soon transport passengers on long-distance trips at dizzying speeds of up to 16,700mph - as Elon Musk claims 'this is now possible' following
Daily Mail
•
Nov 13, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
Similar Questions
What will be the maximum number of people in space simultaneously for each of the following years?
18.9
Will a Metaculus user report from space before 2050?
49.1%
When will the 1,000th person reach space?
2034-06-24
Show More Questions
Similar Questions
What will be the maximum number of people in space simultaneously for each of the following years?
18.9
Will a Metaculus user report from space before 2050?
49.1%
When will the 1,000th person reach space?
2034-06-24
Show More Questions