🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

If humanity goes extinct due to an AI catastrophe before 2300, when will the last human die?

15
6
Total Forecasters62
Community Prediction2047-11-04 (2032-10-23 - 2095-06-29)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
2032-10-23 17:22
2047-11-04 02:59
2095-06-29 18:34
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Matthew_Barnett
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
Human extinction
Nick Bostrom

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