Question

Will Moldova control Transnistria before 2028?

12 comments12

Total Forecasters76

Community Prediction22% (10% - 35%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 22%

Authors:

EvanHarper

Opened:

Apr 28, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2027

Scheduled resolution:

Feb 1, 2028

Moldova–Transnistria relations

Ukraine

Russia

As the Ukraine war reaches its 3-year mark, Russia seems to have time on its side as talks start

Associated Press•Feb 20, 2025

Russia appears to have time on its side nearly 3 years after it invaded Ukraine

PBS NewsHour•Feb 21, 2025

Russia claims control of three east Ukrainian villages

Independent•Feb 21, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Georgia control South Ossetia and Abkhazia before 2028?

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

16%

Comments

? comments