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Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years?
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| Date | My Prediction | Me | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 1% | |||
2035 | 35% | |||
2030 | 25% | |||
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Forecast Timeline
Total Forecasters 606
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Will China engage in a full-scale blockade against Taiwan before the following years?
Will China make an official statement before 2030 saying that it has disavowed use of force as a means for reunification with Taiwan?
1%
Will China launch a military invasion of any country other than Taiwan before 2030?
3%
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will China engage in a full-scale blockade against Taiwan before the following years?
Will China make an official statement before 2030 saying that it has disavowed use of force as a means for reunification with Taiwan?
1%
Will China launch a military invasion of any country other than Taiwan before 2030?
3%