Question
When will China first reach 250,000 confirmed Covid-19 cases per day?
Resolved :Dec 12, 20222023-03-20Total Forecasters31
Community Prediction2023-03-20 (2022-12-15 - 2024-01-02)
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CDF
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | 15 Dec 2022 | — |
median | 20 Mar 2023 | — |
upper 75% | >02 Jan 2024 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>2024-01-02 | 32.8% | — |
What was the final result?Dec 12, 2022
Community Baseline Score
-6.1
Community Peer Score
47.6
Authors:
Opened:May 16, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
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Authors:
Opened:May 16, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024