Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

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Forecast and Share Your Reasoning With GiveWell by January 1st — $3,500 in prizes

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M

Question

In what year will world energy consumption first exceed 130% of every prior year?

11
12
Total Forecasters39
Community Prediction2082-08-16 (2040-12-16 - 2196-03-05)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2201-01-01
...
...
...
...
2040-12-16 23:37
2082-08-16 15:25
2196-03-05 12:29
24.5%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Matthew_Barnett
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Economy & Business
Gross domestic product
Our World in Data
World energy consumption
Philosophy
Earth

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