Question

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force?

24 comments24

Total Forecasters208

Community Prediction66%

Make a Prediction

community: 66%

median 66.0%mean 64.6%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Geopolitics

People's Liberation Army

Joint Chiefs of Staff

If China launches an invasion of Taiwan before 2035, and the US intervenes, will China attack the United States?

75%

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will Japan respond with military forces?

51%

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the United Kingdom respond with military forces?

19%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Geopolitics

People's Liberation Army

Joint Chiefs of Staff

If China launches an invasion of Taiwan before 2035, and the US intervenes, will China attack the United States?

75%

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will Japan respond with military forces?

51%

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the United Kingdom respond with military forces?

19%

MetaculusM

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If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force?

Make a Prediction

If China launches an invasion of Taiwan before 2035, and the US intervenes, will China attack the United States?

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will Japan respond with military forces?

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the United Kingdom respond with military forces?

Comments

If China launches an invasion of Taiwan before 2035, and the US intervenes, will China attack the United States?

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will Japan respond with military forces?

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the United Kingdom respond with military forces?

If China launches an invasion of Taiwan before 2035, and the US intervenes, will China attack the United States?

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will Japan respond with military forces?

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the United Kingdom respond with military forces?

If China launches an invasion of Taiwan before 2035, and the US intervenes, will China attack the United States?

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will Japan respond with military forces?

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the United Kingdom respond with military forces?