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If China launches an invasion of Taiwan before 2035, and the US intervenes, will China attack the United States?
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23 comments
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1d
1w
2m
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Total Forecasters
140
Community Prediction
71%
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50%
community: 71%
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Background Info
Histogram
median
71.0%
mean
67.0%
0%
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20%
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40%
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100%
Authors:
Matthew_Barnett
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Geopolitics
Taiwan independence movement
China
Politburo Standing Committee of the Communist Party of China
One-China policy
Taiwan–US relations
Taiwan
United States
Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of China
Joe Biden
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Authors:
Matthew_Barnett
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Geopolitics
Taiwan independence movement
China
Politburo Standing Committee of the Communist Party of China
One-China policy
Taiwan–US relations
Taiwan
United States
Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of China
Joe Biden
Submit Tags Feedback
News Match
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Nov 11, 2024
Taiwan wants to buy F-35 fighter jets and Patriot missiles to show Trump it's serious: report
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Taiwan eyes $15B military package in signal to Trump administration it is ‘serious’ on defense: report
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News Match
Trump said Taiwan should pay for US protection. Here's what a second Trump term could mean for the island.
Business Insider
•
Nov 11, 2024
Taiwan wants to buy F-35 fighter jets and Patriot missiles to show Trump it's serious: report
Business Insider
•
Nov 11, 2024
Taiwan eyes $15B military package in signal to Trump administration it is ‘serious’ on defense: report
FOX News
•
Nov 12, 2024
Show More News
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about Metaculus NewsMatch
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