Question
Question
Will more than two of Gary Marcus' proposed AI achievements come to pass before 2030?
Total Forecasters168
Community Prediction96%
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median 96.0%mean 84.9%
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Will an AI be able to work as a competent cook in an arbitrary kitchen before 2030?
27%
Will an AI be able to take arbitrary proofs from the mathematical literature and convert them into a symbolic form suitable for verification before 2030?
90%
Will an AI be able to reliably construct bug-free code of more than 10,000 lines before 2030?
90%
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Will an AI be able to work as a competent cook in an arbitrary kitchen before 2030?
27%
Will an AI be able to take arbitrary proofs from the mathematical literature and convert them into a symbolic form suitable for verification before 2030?
90%
Will an AI be able to reliably construct bug-free code of more than 10,000 lines before 2030?
90%