Question

What will be the annual US unemployment rate in 2027?

2 comments2

Total Forecasters14

Community Prediction6.05 (3.99 - 8.07)

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weight:

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>25

...

3.995

6.055

8.074

1.1%

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Authors:

Wombat

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Bureau of Labor Statistics

Automation

There's a sign flashing in the labor market that the US may be slipping into a recession, SocGen says

Business Insider•Dec 13, 2024

Americans will likely get one more interest rate cut this week before the year closes out

Business Insider•Dec 17, 2024

Looking Back At A Year Of Resilience And What To Expect In 2025

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the seasonally adjusted annual average U-3 unemployment rate in the United States in the following years?

4.04

Will the US employment-population ratio fall below the COVID-19 low (51.3%) in any month in the following years, due to AI or otherwise?

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 50% before 2027?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Wombat

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Bureau of Labor Statistics

Automation

There's a sign flashing in the labor market that the US may be slipping into a recession, SocGen says

Business Insider•Dec 13, 2024

Americans will likely get one more interest rate cut this week before the year closes out

Business Insider•Dec 17, 2024

Looking Back At A Year Of Resilience And What To Expect In 2025

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the seasonally adjusted annual average U-3 unemployment rate in the United States in the following years?

4.04

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What will be the annual US unemployment rate in 2027?

Make a Prediction

What will be the seasonally adjusted annual average U-3 unemployment rate in the United States in the following years?

Will the US employment-population ratio fall below the COVID-19 low (51.3%) in any month in the following years, due to AI or otherwise?

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 50% before 2027?

Comments

What will be the seasonally adjusted annual average U-3 unemployment rate in the United States in the following years?

Will the US employment-population ratio fall below the COVID-19 low (51.3%) in any month in the following years, due to AI or otherwise?

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 50% before 2027?

What will be the seasonally adjusted annual average U-3 unemployment rate in the United States in the following years?

Will the US employment-population ratio fall below the COVID-19 low (51.3%) in any month in the following years, due to AI or otherwise?

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 50% before 2027?

What will be the seasonally adjusted annual average U-3 unemployment rate in the United States in the following years?

Will the US employment-population ratio fall below the COVID-19 low (51.3%) in any month in the following years, due to AI or otherwise?

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 50% before 2027?