Question
When will WHO recommend widespread use of a malaria vaccine that is >75% effective?
Resolved :Oct 2023Total Forecasters55
Community Prediction
Jan 2025
(Jan 2024 - Jul 2026)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Jan 2024 | — |
| median | Jan 2025 | — |
| upper 75% | Jul 2026 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >198815040000% | 4.4% | — |
What was the final result?Oct 2023
Community Baseline Score
19.0
Community Peer Score
25.3
Authors:
Opened:Jun 16, 2022
Closes:Jan 10, 2025
Resolves:Jan 10, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 18, 2022
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:Jun 16, 2022
Closes:Jan 10, 2025
Resolves:Jan 10, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 18, 2022
