Question

When will WHO recommend widespread use of a malaria vaccine that is >75% effective?

Resolved :Oct 2, 2023

10 comments10

Total Forecasters55

Community Prediction2025-01-24

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2033-01-01

...

2024-01-31 05:24

2025-01-24 09:42

2026-07-27 23:02

4.4%

What was the final result?Oct 2, 2023

Community Baseline Score

19.0

Community Peer Score

25.3

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Biosecurity Tournament

Phases of clinical research

World Health Organization

Microbiology

RTS,S

Will the study in Ghana find that RTS,S combined with malaria chemoprevention reduces clinical malaria more than RTS,S alone in the following age groups?

Malaria and the Historic RTS,S Vaccine

Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

75%

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