🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Group

If life is discovered in the solar system before 2050, where will it be first discovered?

16
16
96 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Make a Prediction

LocationMe
Mars
38%
Europa
30%
Enceladus
10%
An asteroid, comet, or SSSB
8%
Titan
7%
Venus
3%
Ganymede
1%
Mercury
1%
Earth's Moon
1%
Ceres
1%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Space
Economy & Business
Natural Sciences
Technology
Enceladus
Astronomy
Solar System
Mercury (planet)
Moon
Extraterrestrial life
Space exploration
Comet
SSSB
Mars

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