Question

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

3 comments3

Total Forecasters105

Community Prediction7%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 7%

median 7.0%mean 9.9%

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Biosecurity Tournament

Emergency Use Authorization

Epidemiology

Food and Drug Administration

Public health emergency (United States)

Medicine

Phases of clinical research

Clinical trial

If there is a new pandemic before 2032, how long (in days) will it be from the first US laboratory-confirmed case until the first FDA-approved vaccine?

269

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

8.06

Before 2032, will these pan-coronavirus vaccine candidates be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Biosecurity Tournament

Emergency Use Authorization

Epidemiology

Food and Drug Administration

Public health emergency (United States)

Medicine

Phases of clinical research

Clinical trial

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If there is a new pandemic before 2032, how long (in days) will it be from the first US laboratory-confirmed case until the first FDA-approved vaccine?

269

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

8.06