🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

MetaculusM

Group

Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election?

22

138 comments138

182 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Liz Truss

Rishi Sunak

Michael Gove

Jeremy Hunt

Priti Patel

Boris Johnson

Make a Prediction

Candidate		My Prediction		Me
Liz Truss	yes

Rishi Sunak	no

Michael Gove	no

Jeremy Hunt	no

Priti Patel	no

Boris Johnson	no

Tom Tugendhat	no

Penny Mordaunt	no

Steve Baker	no

Suella Braverman	no

Grant Shapps	no

Sajid Javid	no

Ben Wallace	no

Dominic Raab	no

Nadhim Zahawi	no

Kemi Badenoch	no

Resolved Sep 5, 2022

Community Baseline Score

-1.4

Community Peer Score

26.1

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

2022 Leaderboard

Conservative Party (UK)

Steve Baker (politician)

Comments

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Authors:

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

2022 Leaderboard

Conservative Party (UK)

Steve Baker (politician)