Question

If China launches a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2035, will they successfully control Taiwan within three years?

104 comments104

Total Forecasters222

Community Prediction66%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 66%

median 66.0%mean 60.2%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Geopolitics

Chinese Armed Forces

People's Liberation Army

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years?

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force?

61%

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the United Kingdom respond with military forces?

19%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Geopolitics

Chinese Armed Forces

People's Liberation Army

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Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years?

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force?

61%

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the United Kingdom respond with military forces?

19%