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Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years?

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Candidates		My Prediction		Me
2035	28%

2030	21%

2025	1%

Forecast Timeline

2035

2030

2025

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Geopolitics

Republic of China Armed Forces

Li Zuocheng

People's Liberation Army

Will China engage in a full-scale blockade against Taiwan before the following years?

Will China make an official statement before 2030 saying that it has disavowed use of force as a means for reunification with Taiwan?

Will China launch a military invasion of any country other than Taiwan before 2030?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Geopolitics

Republic of China Armed Forces

Li Zuocheng

People's Liberation Army

Encircling Taiwan was a smokescreen for China's real goal of convincing US not to intervene, expert says

FOX News•Oct 20, 2024

Why China-Taiwan Relations Are So Tense

•Oct 22, 2024

Taiwan says Chinese blockade would be act of war after ‘Joint Sword-2024B’ military drills

CNN•Oct 23, 2024

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