Group

Depending on a CDC authorization of a pan-betacoronavirus vaccine, how many US deaths will be attributed to betacoronaviruses between 2028 and 2030 (inclusive)?

3 comments3

62 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Not Authorized

Authorized

Make a Prediction

This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved

Closed for forecasting

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Jun 23, 2022

Closed:

Jan 10, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2032

Biosecurity Tournament Long-Term

Biosecurity Tournament

Health & Pandemics

Natural Sciences

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Virology

1889–1890 flu pandemic

Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus

Public health

COVID-19

Pulmonology

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Coronaviridae

Epidemiology

Covid prophet who predicted pandemic SEVEN YEARS before it spread reveals the terrifying next 'big one'... and when it could hit

Daily Mail•Mar 1, 2025

As Texas measles outbreak grows, here's what to know about the disease, vaccines and response

NBC•Mar 1, 2025

Measles Cases and Outbreaks

•Mar 1, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many deaths in the US will be due to antibiotic-resistant infections in 2035?

68.2k

How many total confirmed human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States as of March 31, 2025?

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026? → If at least 200 human cases of H5 are confirmed in the United States before 2026, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

Comments

? comments