Group

When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?

98 comments98

196 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Tesla

Any Service

Waymo

Make a Prediction

Driverless Service

median

PDF

Authors:

isinlor casens

Opened:

Sep 29, 2020

Closes:

Dec 26, 2034

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 26, 2034

Artificial Intelligence

Why GM pulled the plug on Cruise after spending $10 billion on robotaxis

Business Insider•Feb 19, 2025

A Waymo subscriber program could be in the works.

Verge•Feb 19, 2025

Rivian will launch hands-off highway driver assist ‘in a few weeks’

TechCrunch•Feb 21, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

On January 1, 2026, in how many US states will Waymo's rider-only ride-hailing service be available to the general public?

4.12

When will 5%, 10%, and 20% of the US population have access to L4 or L5 self-driving?

When will autonomous flying vehicles be commercially available?

2037-07-03

Comments

? comments

Authors:

isinlor casens

Opened:

Sep 29, 2020

Closes:

Dec 26, 2034

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 26, 2034

Artificial Intelligence

Why GM pulled the plug on Cruise after spending $10 billion on robotaxis

Business Insider•Feb 19, 2025

A Waymo subscriber program could be in the works.

Verge•Feb 19, 2025

Rivian will launch hands-off highway driver assist ‘in a few weeks’

TechCrunch•Feb 21, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

On January 1, 2026, in how many US states will Waymo's rider-only ride-hailing service be available to the general public?

4.12

When will 5%, 10%, and 20% of the US population have access to L4 or L5 self-driving?

When will autonomous flying vehicles be commercially available?

2037-07-03