Group
When will these degrees of self-driving car autonomy be developed and commercially available?
Make a Prediction
SAE Autonomy Level | resolution | ||
---|---|---|---|
Apr 15, 2021 | |||
Oct 20, 2020 | |||
SAE Autonomy Level | 25th | median | 75th |
2026-10-17 ... | 2030-01-02 ... | 2036-07-09 ... |
CDF
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2099-12-25
2021-08-26 18:42
2022-10-30 23:15
2025-08-18 03:55
0.1%
What was the final result?Apr 15, 2021
Community Baseline Score
98.0
Community Peer Score
32.9
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Mar 13, 2020
Closes:Dec 29, 2119
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2120
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:Mar 13, 2020
Closes:Dec 29, 2119
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2120