M

Group

When will these degrees of self-driving car autonomy be developed and commercially available?

10
122
246 forecasters

Make a Prediction

SAE Autonomy Levelresolution
SAE Autonomy Level25thmedian75th

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CDF

lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2099-12-25
2021-08-26 18:42
2022-10-30 23:15
2025-08-18 03:55
0.1%

What was the final result?Apr 15, 2021

Community Baseline Score
98.0
Community Peer Score
32.9

Forecast Timeline

Opened:Mar 13, 2020
Closes:Dec 29, 2119
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2120

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