M

Question

How many confirmed children will Elon Musk have by end of 2025?

Community Prediction12.613.7Jan 16Jan 20Jan 24Jan 28Feb 01Feb 05Feb 09Feb 13Feb 17Feb 21Feb 25Mar 01Mar 05Mar 09Mar 13now
Total Forecasters28
Community Prediction13.3 (12.1 - 14.2)

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CDF

99.5510.110.711.211.812.312.813.413.914.515.115.616.116.717.317.818.418.919.420
weight:
Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<93.8%
Quartiles
lower 25%12.13
median13.25
upper 75%14.24
Upper bound
>201.2%
Authors:
Opened:Jul 11, 2022
Closes:Jul 1, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026

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