M

Question

When will an AI first pass a long, informed, adversarial Turing test?

43
70
Total Forecasters172
Community Prediction2028-12-04

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2100-01-02
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2026-05-30 02:56
2028-12-04 02:25
2033-09-12 21:56
1.9%
Authors:
Matthew_Barnett
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
AI Demonstrations
AGI Outcomes
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
Loebner Prize
Alan Turing
Turing test
Philosophy

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