Question

When will an AI first pass a long, informed, adversarial Turing test?

70 comments70

Total Forecasters171

Community Prediction2028-12-31 (2026-06-20 - 2033-07-17)

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community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2100-01-02

...

2026-06-20 18:36

2028-12-31 11:03

2033-07-17 08:15

1.5%

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Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

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AI Demonstrations

AGI Outcomes

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

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