Question

When will an AI first pass a long, informed, adversarial Turing test?

70 comments70

Total Forecasters172

Community Prediction2028-12-04

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2100-01-02

...

2026-05-30 02:56

2028-12-04 02:25

2033-09-12 21:56

1.9%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AI Demonstrations

AGI Outcomes

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

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