🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will any US court rule that Donald J. Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency before January 20, 2025?

Resolved :Yes33%
22
14
Total Forecasters113
Community Prediction33% (17% - 40%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 33%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
-39.4
Community Peer Score
6.2
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Law
Politics
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Supreme Court of the US
President of the US
Presidential Records Act
United States
Mar-a-Lago
Donald Trump
Fourteenth Amendment to the US Constitution

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