Question

If Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency, will that disqualification be ruled unconstitutional before January 20, 2025?

Resolved :Yes

34 comments34

Total Forecasters122

Community Prediction96%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 96%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

33.0

Community Peer Score

8.2

median 96.0%mean 92.0%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Law

Politics

Supreme Court of the US

Presidential Records Act

United States

Mar-a-Lago

Donald Trump

Fourteenth Amendment to the US Constitution

Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?

Will Trump win the 2024 presidential election and retain supreme executive power past 2028?

1.7%

Will Donald J. Trump be convicted of at least one count in his federal court cases before the end of 2024?

0.1%

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