🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

When will an AI win a Gold Medal in the International Olympiad in Informatics (IOI)?

12
12
Total Forecasters41
Community Prediction2026-01-09 (2025-03-15 - 2027-06-26)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2079-12-31
...
...
...
...
2025-03-15 08:39
2026-01-09 13:27
2027-06-26 08:27
0.2%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
qumidium
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
AI Demonstrations
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
Technology
International Olympiad in Informatics
Codeforces
DeepMind

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