M

Question

When will an AI win a Gold Medal in the International Olympiad in Informatics (IOI)?

Resolved :Feb 3, 20252025-11-28
Total Forecasters42
Community Prediction2025-11-28 (2025-03-01 - 2026-12-17)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%2025
median2025
upper 75%2026
Upper bound
>2079-12-310.2%

What was the final result?Feb 3, 2025

Community Baseline Score
4.2
Community Peer Score
0.9
Authors:
Opened:Sep 13, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2079
Resolves:Dec 31, 2079

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