Question

Will one or more recognized Federal Subjects of the Russian Federation break away before 2025?

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Total Forecasters174

Community Prediction0.1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.1%

median 0.1%mean 3.3%

Authors:

robert7

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Federal subjects of Russia

Kherson

President of Russia

Chechen Republic of Ichkeria

Buryatia

Ukraine

Crimea

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Comments

? comments

Authors:

robert7

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Federal subjects of Russia

Kherson

President of Russia

Chechen Republic of Ichkeria

Buryatia

Ukraine

Crimea

Protesters storm Putin-backed parliament in Georgia breakaway region

•Nov 16, 2024

3 reasons why Russia's economy can survive without crisis for up to 5 more years, think-tank economists say

Business Insider•Nov 16, 2024

What next on the war in Ukraine?

•Nov 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Russia's total territory decrease by at least 20% before 2028?

Will Russian territory be reduced by at least 1% before 2040?

32%