Question

Before 2030, will it be announced that the fueling of the UAMPS small modular nuclear reactor project at the Idaho National Laboratory has begun?

13 comments13

Total Forecasters18

Community Prediction12.5% (5% - 23.9%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 12.5%

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Oct 3, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

US Department of Energy

Idaho National Laboratory

Nuclear Regulatory Commission

Utah

Tennessee plans huge nuclear program to fight some of the lowest wages in the country

Daily Mail•Feb 12, 2025

India wants to embrace nuclear power. To do it, it’ll need a lot of time and money

Associated Press•Feb 12, 2025

Want Clean, 'Green' Electricity? New Modular Reactor Project in Tennessee Is the Answer.

Red State•Feb 13, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will small modular nuclear reactors supply at least 1% of any nation's electricity by 2030?

20%

By 2035, how many new gigawatts of nuclear power will enter operation in the United States, as verified by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission, new state regulators, or other definitive sources?

Will Australia operate a nuclear power plant before 2042?

25%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Oct 3, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

US Department of Energy

Idaho National Laboratory

Nuclear Regulatory Commission

Utah

Tennessee plans huge nuclear program to fight some of the lowest wages in the country

Daily Mail•Feb 12, 2025

India wants to embrace nuclear power. To do it, it’ll need a lot of time and money

Associated Press•Feb 12, 2025

Want Clean, 'Green' Electricity? New Modular Reactor Project in Tennessee Is the Answer.

Red State•Feb 13, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will small modular nuclear reactors supply at least 1% of any nation's electricity by 2030?

20%

By 2035, how many new gigawatts of nuclear power will enter operation in the United States, as verified by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission, new state regulators, or other definitive sources?

Will Australia operate a nuclear power plant before 2042?

25%