Question

Will Boris Johnson return as the leader of the UK Conservative Party before 2026?

10 comments10

Total Forecasters86

Community Prediction0.8% (0.2% - 2%)

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50%

community: 0.8%

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Authors:

Jgalt

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Politics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Conservative Party (UK)

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Will Kwasi Kwarteng become UK Conservative Party Leader before 2030?

0.8%

Will Nigel Farage become Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before January 1, 2035?

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

25%

Comments

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Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Politics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Conservative Party (UK)

Donald Trump May Not Have Justin Trudeau to Kick Around Anymore

Newsweek•Dec 18, 2024

Canadian prime minister faces growing pressure from his own party to resign

PBS NewsHour•Dec 18, 2024

Canada’s prime minister faces calls to resign. Here’s what could happen next

Associated Press•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Kwasi Kwarteng become UK Conservative Party Leader before 2030?

0.8%

Will Nigel Farage become Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before January 1, 2035?

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

25%

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

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Will Boris Johnson return as the leader of the UK Conservative Party before 2026?

Make a Prediction

Will Kwasi Kwarteng become UK Conservative Party Leader before 2030?

Will Nigel Farage become Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before January 1, 2035?

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

Comments

Will Kwasi Kwarteng become UK Conservative Party Leader before 2030?

Will Nigel Farage become Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before January 1, 2035?

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

Will Kwasi Kwarteng become UK Conservative Party Leader before 2030?

Will Nigel Farage become Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before January 1, 2035?

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

Will Kwasi Kwarteng become UK Conservative Party Leader before 2030?

Will Nigel Farage become Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before January 1, 2035?

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?