Question

Will Boris Johnson return as the leader of the UK Conservative Party before 2026?

10 comments10

Total Forecasters86

Community Prediction1% (0.2% - 2.5%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Oct 27, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Politics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Conservative Party (UK)

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Will Kwasi Kwarteng become UK Conservative Party Leader before 2030?

0.8%

Will Nigel Farage become Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before January 1, 2035?

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

27%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Oct 27, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Politics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Conservative Party (UK)

Who will replace Trudeau as Canada’s Liberal party leader?

Al Jazeera•Jan 24, 2025

Canada Begins Process of Replacing Prime Minister Justin Trudeau

Breitbart•Jan 24, 2025

When Will Canada Host Elections to Replace Justin Trudeau? What We Know

Newsweek•Jan 25, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Kwasi Kwarteng become UK Conservative Party Leader before 2030?

0.8%

Will Nigel Farage become Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before January 1, 2035?

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

27%