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M

Group

What will be the share of people living in countries where same-sex marriage is legal in the following years?

10
13
86 forecasters

Make a Prediction

Yearresolution
Year25thmedian75th
community
<10
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>20
0.1%
15.01
15.34
15.78
0.4%

What was the final result?16.8

Community Baseline Score
-7.6
Community Peer Score
33.5
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Forecasting Our World in Data
Politics
2021-2025 Leaderboard
England and Wales
Our World in Data
Scotland
Same-sex marriage
Netherlands
United Kingdom
Northern Ireland
International Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual, Trans and Intersex Association

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