Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

We're considering changes to the Quarterly Cup and want to hear from you, take our short survey to share your thoughts and help shape future iterations of the Cup.

M

Group

What will be the global mortality rate (in percent) for children under the age of 5 in the following years?

4
4
55 forecasters

Make a Prediction

Yearresolution
Year25thmedian75th
community
<2
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>5
0.1%
3.527
3.599
3.68
0.1%

What was the final result?3.63

Community Baseline Score
125.1
Community Peer Score
26.2
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Forecasting Our World in Data
Health & Pandemics
Economy & Business
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Demography
Our World in Data
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs
Sustainable Development Goals
Public health
Child mortality
Medicine

Comments

? comments