Question

Will there be a tsunami that kills at least 50,000 people before 2030?

7 comments7

Total Forecasters49

Community Prediction14% (6% - 22%)

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50%

community: 14%

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Authors:

ajohnson

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Scheduled resolution:

Natural Sciences

2004 Indian Ocean earthquake and tsunami

Indian Ocean nations to mark 20 years since devastating tsunami

Raw Story•Dec 18, 2024

20 years on: Remembering the 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami that claimed over 220,000 lives

•Dec 21, 2024

2004 Indian Ocean tsunami: What to know 20 years on

•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many people will die as a result of the most deadly earthquake from 2020 - 2029?

71.9k

Will there be an 8.0 magnitude or greater earthquake in the Pacific Northwest before 2034?

23.2%

When will the next Nankai megathrust earthquake occur?

2043-02-21

Comments

? comments

Authors:

ajohnson

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Natural Sciences

2004 Indian Ocean earthquake and tsunami

Indian Ocean nations to mark 20 years since devastating tsunami

Raw Story•Dec 18, 2024

20 years on: Remembering the 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami that claimed over 220,000 lives

•Dec 21, 2024

2004 Indian Ocean tsunami: What to know 20 years on

•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many people will die as a result of the most deadly earthquake from 2020 - 2029?

71.9k

Will there be an 8.0 magnitude or greater earthquake in the Pacific Northwest before 2034?

23.2%

When will the next Nankai megathrust earthquake occur?

2043-02-21

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Will there be a tsunami that kills at least 50,000 people before 2030?

Make a Prediction

How many people will die as a result of the most deadly earthquake from 2020 - 2029?

Will there be an 8.0 magnitude or greater earthquake in the Pacific Northwest before 2034?

When will the next Nankai megathrust earthquake occur?

Comments

How many people will die as a result of the most deadly earthquake from 2020 - 2029?

Will there be an 8.0 magnitude or greater earthquake in the Pacific Northwest before 2034?

When will the next Nankai megathrust earthquake occur?

How many people will die as a result of the most deadly earthquake from 2020 - 2029?

Will there be an 8.0 magnitude or greater earthquake in the Pacific Northwest before 2034?

When will the next Nankai megathrust earthquake occur?

How many people will die as a result of the most deadly earthquake from 2020 - 2029?

Will there be an 8.0 magnitude or greater earthquake in the Pacific Northwest before 2034?

When will the next Nankai megathrust earthquake occur?