M

Group

How does the level of existential risk posed by AGI depend on its arrival time?

20
19

Forecast Timeline

Make a Prediction

CandidatesMe
2022-10-10 to 2024-12-31
50%
2025-01-01 to 2029-12-31
50%
2030-01-01 to 2039-12-31
37.8%
2040-01-01 to 2059-12-31
16%
2060-01-01 to 2099-12-31
15%
Authors:
Lawrence
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Future of AI
AGI Outcomes
AI Safety
Artificial Intelligence
Ethics
Extinction
Human extinction
LessWrong
Risk management
Existential risk from AGI
AGI
Artificial Intelligence System
Artificial general intelligence
Philosophy of mind

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