🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Group

What percent of the world's primary energy will come from fossil fuels in the following years?

17
6
103 forecasters

Make a Prediction

Yearresolution
Year25thmedian75th
community
<80
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>85
1.4%
81.41
81.9
82.34
0.4%

What was the final result?81.5

Community Baseline Score
44.9
Community Peer Score
23.5
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Forecasting Our World in Data
Environment & Climate
Economy & Business
Technology
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Our World in Data
Energy
Environmental science
Physics
BP
Primary energy
Fossil fuel
Solar energy
Energy Information Administration

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