🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Group

What will be the global rate of homicide deaths per 100,000 people in the following years?

4
4
44 forecasters

Make a Prediction

Yearresolution
Year25thmedian75th
This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
My Prediction
community
<4
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>7
...
...
...
...
...
3.1%
5.153
5.324
5.507
0.2%
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Forecasting Our World in Data
Politics
2021-2025 Leaderboard
2022-2023 Leaderboard
Our World in Data
Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
Public health
Global Burden of Disease Study
Medicine
Epidemiology

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