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What will be total annual investment (in 2021 USD) in AI companies in the world in the listed years?

7 comments7

67 forecasters

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Year

median

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Resolved

Forecast Timeline

2023

2032

2052

2122

2025

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Oct 12, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2123

Scheduled resolution:

May 2, 2123

Forecasting Our World in Data

Business of AI

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Economy & Business

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Our World in Data

US Consumer Price Index

Stanford University

Consumer price index

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What will be the US : China ratio for private investment in AI in the following years?

4.73

What will be the highest estimated computation (in FLOP) used in large AI training runs by the following years?

2×10²⁵

What will NVIDIA's market capitalization be on the last day of the following years?

3.3k

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Oct 12, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2123

Scheduled resolution:

May 2, 2123

Forecasting Our World in Data

Business of AI

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Economy & Business

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Our World in Data

US Consumer Price Index

Stanford University

Consumer price index

A Value Investor’s Thoughts On DeepSeek And The Next Phase Of AI

Forbes•Feb 27, 2025

Nvidia doubled profits in 2024. And its outlook is rosy despite AI jitters

CNN•Feb 27, 2025

Investors Are Making Big AI-Based Sentiment Bets

Forbes•Feb 28, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the US : China ratio for private investment in AI in the following years?

4.73

What will be the highest estimated computation (in FLOP) used in large AI training runs by the following years?

2×10²⁵

What will NVIDIA's market capitalization be on the last day of the following years?

3.3k