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What will be the highest estimated computation (in FLOP) used in large AI training runs by the following years?
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Year | resolution | ||
---|---|---|---|
- | |||
Year | 25th | median | 75th |
1.1×10²⁶ ... | 3.9×10²⁶ ... | 1×10²⁷ ... | |
7.6×10²⁷ ... | 1.9×10²⁹ ... | 1×10³⁰ ... | |
2.6×10³⁵ ... | 2.8×10³⁸ ... | 1×10⁴³ ... | |
2.4×10⁴⁷ ... | 6.2×10⁵⁸ ... | 1×10⁷⁵ ... |
This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
My Prediction
communitylower 25%
median
upper 75%
>1×10²⁶
...
...
...
...
1.3×10²⁵
2×10²⁵
3×10²⁵
8.5%
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