M

Question

Conditional on Russia attacking Ukraine with at least one nuclear weapon before 2024, will Russia use at least one nuclear weapon on Kyiv before 2024?

Resolved :Annulled3.5%
Total Forecasters97
Community Prediction3.5% (1% - 12%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 3.5%

Did this actually happen?Annulled

Authors:
Opened:Oct 28, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 4, 2024

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