Question

Will at least ten countries have committed to any diplomatic agreement restricting solar geoengineering, before 2026?

12 comments12

Total Forecasters56

Community Prediction8.9%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 8.9%

median 8.9%mean 10.1%

Authors:

EvanHarper

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Law

Environment & Climate

Engineering

Solar radiation management

Climatology

Environmental science

Solar physics

Climate change denial

Will more than 34 countries have committed to a stringent anti-solar-geoengineering pact before 2026?

4.7%

Will at least 10 countries ratify a new international treaty on pandemic prevention and preparedness before 2025?

Will any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development be signed by the US and China before the following years?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

EvanHarper

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Law

Environment & Climate

Engineering

Solar radiation management

Climatology

Environmental science

Solar physics

Climate change denial

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Will more than 34 countries have committed to a stringent anti-solar-geoengineering pact before 2026?

4.7%