Question

Will at least ten countries have committed to any diplomatic agreement restricting solar geoengineering, before 2026?

12 comments12

Total Forecasters56

Community Prediction7.8% (5% - 10%)

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50%

community: 7.8%

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Authors:

EvanHarper

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Law

Environment & Climate

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Engineering

Solar radiation management

Climatology

Environmental science

Solar physics

Climate change denial

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Will more than 34 countries have committed to a stringent anti-solar-geoengineering pact before 2026?

4.7%

Will at least 10 countries ratify a new international treaty on pandemic prevention and preparedness before 2025?

Will the United States and Iran sign a new agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before 2029?

30%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

EvanHarper

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Law

Environment & Climate

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Engineering

Solar radiation management

Climatology

Environmental science

Solar physics

Climate change denial

Biden set an ambitious new climate goal. Will it still matter under Trump?

•Dec 19, 2024

Climate Change Trial at The Hague

CounterPunch•Dec 13, 2024

World Court Judges Pose Additional Questions In Climate Change Opinion

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will more than 34 countries have committed to a stringent anti-solar-geoengineering pact before 2026?

4.7%

Will at least 10 countries ratify a new international treaty on pandemic prevention and preparedness before 2025?

Will the United States and Iran sign a new agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before 2029?

30%

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Will at least ten countries have committed to any diplomatic agreement restricting solar geoengineering, before 2026?

Make a Prediction

Will more than 34 countries have committed to a stringent anti-solar-geoengineering pact before 2026?

Will at least 10 countries ratify a new international treaty on pandemic prevention and preparedness before 2025?

Will the United States and Iran sign a new agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before 2029?

Comments

Will more than 34 countries have committed to a stringent anti-solar-geoengineering pact before 2026?

Will at least 10 countries ratify a new international treaty on pandemic prevention and preparedness before 2025?

Will the United States and Iran sign a new agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before 2029?

Will more than 34 countries have committed to a stringent anti-solar-geoengineering pact before 2026?

Will at least 10 countries ratify a new international treaty on pandemic prevention and preparedness before 2025?

Will the United States and Iran sign a new agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before 2029?

Will more than 34 countries have committed to a stringent anti-solar-geoengineering pact before 2026?

Will at least 10 countries ratify a new international treaty on pandemic prevention and preparedness before 2025?

Will the United States and Iran sign a new agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before 2029?