Question

Will any country have a Total Fertility Rate below 0.5 before 2053?

49 comments49

Total Forecasters82

Community Prediction73%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 73%

median 73.0%mean 69.7%

Authors:

trillionage

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Reproductive medicine

Medicine

Hong Kong

Will global fertility drop to 0.25 births per woman before 2046?

Forecast Factors: Drivers of Birth Rates in the Modern World

What will be the global total fertility rate in the following years?

2.17

Comments

? comments

Authors:

trillionage

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Reproductive medicine

Medicine

Hong Kong

China's push for more babies as demographic crisis deepens lacks real incentives, analysts say

CNBC•Nov 11, 2024

Why China's Birth Rate Plans Aren't Working

Newsweek•Nov 13, 2024

As 4B takes the world by storm, South Korea is grappling with a backlash against feminism

Guardian•Nov 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will global fertility drop to 0.25 births per woman before 2046?

Forecast Factors: Drivers of Birth Rates in the Modern World

What will be the global total fertility rate in the following years?

2.17