Question

Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2024?

Resolved :No

1k comments1k

Total Forecasters862

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

56.8

Community Peer Score

28.9

median 1.0%mean 1.0%

Authors:

Eikonal

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

2014 Ukrainian revolution

Viktor Yanukovych

Donetsk

Luhansk

Armed Forces of Ukraine

Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025?

0.5%

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will the Crimean Bridge be knocked out for seven days before 2025?

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