Question

How many months in prison will Sam Bankman-Fried be sentenced to before 2026?

90 comments90

Total Forecasters100

Community Prediction300

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>360

...

0.4%

294.1

299.6

303.9

3.6%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Federal Trade Commission

How many months in prison will Sam Bankman-Fried be sentenced to before 2030?

300

Will Sam Bankman-Fried be one of the 100 wealthiest people in the world in 2030?

0.1%

Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Federal Trade Commission

FTX is suing Binance to recover nearly $1.8 billion

Verge•Nov 11, 2024

FTX sues Binance and its former CEO for $1.8bn

Guardian•Nov 12, 2024

FTX sues Binance for $1.8B, claims ex-CEO Zhao ‘set out to destroy’ firm

New York Post•Nov 12, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many months in prison will Sam Bankman-Fried be sentenced to before 2030?

300

Will Sam Bankman-Fried be one of the 100 wealthiest people in the world in 2030?

0.1%