Question
How many months in prison will Sam Bankman-Fried be sentenced to before 2026?
Total Forecasters101
Community Prediction
300 months
(295 - 304)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <2 | 0.4% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 294.6 | — |
| median | 299.6 | — |
| upper 75% | 303.8 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >360 | 3.1% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Nov 15, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 15, 2022
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Nov 15, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 15, 2022
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch