🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Group

Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026?

15
73
79 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Make a Prediction

PersonMe
Sam Bankman-Fried
yes
Caroline Ellison
yes
Gary Wang
yes
Nishad Singh
yes
Sam Trabucco
33%
Resolved Nov 2, 2023
Community Baseline Score
29.6
Community Peer Score
2.4
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
EvanHarper
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Politics
Cryptocurrencies
Economy & Business
2021-2025 Leaderboard
FTX
Gary Wang
United States
New York (state)

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