Question

How many scheduled airline flights within, into, or out of the United States will be canceled on Wednesday, November 23rd (the day before Thanksgiving), as reported by FlightAware?

Resolved :60

9 comments9

Total Forecasters42

Community Prediction271

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>3k

...

153.6

270.6

432.9

0.1%

What was the final result?60

Community Baseline Score

35.0

Community Peer Score

64.9

Authors:

EvanHarper

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🔰Q4 2022 Beginner Tournament 🔰

Economy & Business

Thanksgiving

NFL on Thanksgiving Day

FlightAware

United States

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How many additional highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 infections will be reported in humans in the United States in 2024?

What is the probability that a Westbound Amtrak Sunset Limited train reports a delay of more than 4 hours upon arriving at its terminus before the 10:00 AM on 10/24?

12%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

EvanHarper

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🔰Q4 2022 Beginner Tournament 🔰

Economy & Business

Thanksgiving

NFL on Thanksgiving Day

FlightAware

United States

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will BirdCast report 1 billion birds flying over the United States at any point before January 1, 2025?

How many additional highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 infections will be reported in humans in the United States in 2024?

What is the probability that a Westbound Amtrak Sunset Limited train reports a delay of more than 4 hours upon arriving at its terminus before the 10:00 AM on 10/24?

12%