Question

Will German bishops break from the Catholic Church before 2035?

24 comments24

Total Forecasters32

Community Prediction11% (6% - 20%)

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50%

community: 11%

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Authors:

DanielFilan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Germany

Central Committee of German Catholics

Vatican City

Pope Francis

Catechism of the Catholic Church

Catholic Church

Catholic Church in Germany

German chancellor faces confidence vote likely to lead to snap elections

CNN•Dec 16, 2024

Germany’s Scholz faces a confidence vote. It’s expected to lead to an election in February

Associated Press•Dec 16, 2024

Germany: Chancellor Olaf Scholz loses vote of confidence

•Dec 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the Catholic Church end the requirement for clerical celibacy by 2030?

1.2%

Will there be an breakaway European Soccer League match before 2030?

17%

Will the Christian Democratic Union of Germany announce that it is open to negotiating a coalition with the Alternative for Germany before 2030?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

DanielFilan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Germany

Central Committee of German Catholics

Vatican City

Pope Francis

Catechism of the Catholic Church

Catholic Church

Catholic Church in Germany

German chancellor faces confidence vote likely to lead to snap elections

CNN•Dec 16, 2024

Germany’s Scholz faces a confidence vote. It’s expected to lead to an election in February

Associated Press•Dec 16, 2024

Germany: Chancellor Olaf Scholz loses vote of confidence

•Dec 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the Catholic Church end the requirement for clerical celibacy by 2030?

1.2%

Will there be an breakaway European Soccer League match before 2030?

17%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

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Will German bishops break from the Catholic Church before 2035?

Make a Prediction

Will the Catholic Church end the requirement for clerical celibacy by 2030?

Will there be an breakaway European Soccer League match before 2030?

Will the Christian Democratic Union of Germany announce that it is open to negotiating a coalition with the Alternative for Germany before 2030?

Comments

Will the Catholic Church end the requirement for clerical celibacy by 2030?

Will there be an breakaway European Soccer League match before 2030?

Will the Christian Democratic Union of Germany announce that it is open to negotiating a coalition with the Alternative for Germany before 2030?

Will the Catholic Church end the requirement for clerical celibacy by 2030?

Will there be an breakaway European Soccer League match before 2030?

Will the Christian Democratic Union of Germany announce that it is open to negotiating a coalition with the Alternative for Germany before 2030?

Will the Catholic Church end the requirement for clerical celibacy by 2030?

Will there be an breakaway European Soccer League match before 2030?

Will the Christian Democratic Union of Germany announce that it is open to negotiating a coalition with the Alternative for Germany before 2030?